0x97048c1CD1Ce295f9BfdF9F222eFac2722938e26-1770913463145
0x97048c1cd1ce295f9bfdf9f222efac2722938e26
- Realised P&L
- $-653.71
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $95.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$953.33at 0.120Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$117.94at 0.482Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
- +$92.95at 0.320US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$75.00at 0.250Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$60.47at 0.377Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $78.00 |
| 05-01 10:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6756682892 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 10:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.7718679269 | $150.00 |
| 04-11 15:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 05:42 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 04-09 05:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.0274115239 | $50.00 |
| 04-07 08:17 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $500.00 |
| 03-24 08:13 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6250721146 | $25.00 |
| 03-24 08:13 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6496062983 | $25.00 |
| 03-24 08:12 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9058998963 | $50.00 |
| 03-24 08:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $230.00 |
| 03-22 19:25 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0396393542 | $25.00 |
| 03-09 17:04 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during Miami address? | BUY | 0.3777335939 | $50.00 |