PolyBot

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Traders

yajyu1145141919810931

0x96fcac030966c6939b7e7484d93393b425df721b

Realised P&L
$-30.35
Volume
$40.5k
Markets traded
2,132
Open portfolio
$92.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,132
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13? · No0.9791.000$9.99+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13? · No0.9601.000$9.99+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 13? · No0.9601.000$9.99+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 13? · No0.9760.995$9.99+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13? · No0.9820.990$9.90+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14? · No0.9790.985$9.85+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 14? · No0.9500.930$9.30−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14? · No0.9590.927$9.27−$0.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 14? · No0.9350.920$9.25−$0.15
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3900.895$4.47+$2.52
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3600.105$0.53−$1.27
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.2100.009$0.04−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 12? · No0.9150.000$0.00−$18.30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4? · No0.9150.000$0.00−$18.30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 22? · No0.9660.000$0.00−$9.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.95$9.50
10-13 10:30Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 13?BUY0.9759999992$9.80
10-13 09:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.9350264488$9.40
10-13 03:30Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13?BUY0.979$9.79
10-13 00:31Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 14?BUY0.9585002591$9.59
10-13 00:31Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14?BUY0.979$9.79
10-12 23:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13?BUY0.982$9.82
10-12 05:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 13?BUY0.96$9.60
10-12 00:31Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13?BUY0.96$9.60
10-11 10:31Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 12?BUY0.965$9.65
10-11 01:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 12?BUY0.951$9.51
10-11 01:31Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 12?BUY0.98$9.80
10-11 00:31Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?BUY0.95$9.50
10-11 00:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 12?BUY0.91$9.10
10-10 17:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 11?BUY0.941$9.41