PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x96f7c125daebc2ddd5bd2a4753c21c9ed3c37be1

0x96f7c125daebc2ddd5bd2a4753c21c9ed3c37be1

Realised P&L
$14.64
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30? · Yes0.0220.018$1.23−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29? · Yes0.0610.001$0.10−$12.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00−$19.80
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.60
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$9.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 14:32Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.0216238571$1.51
09-28 18:30Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.0607224$12.14
09-28 07:32Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.14$9.80
09-28 07:29Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.06$16.20
09-28 01:44Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.07$18.90
09-28 01:37Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.15$10.50
09-27 14:51Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.13$9.10
09-27 14:50Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.13$9.10
09-24 17:34Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.16$0.80
09-24 07:19Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?BUY0.23$1.15
09-20 01:31Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.956$4.78
09-19 01:34Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.955$4.77
09-15 07:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$9.92
09-12 07:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12?BUY0.99$19.80
09-11 13:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.18$2.70