Bloodwyrm
0x96ef5e15412e280b23b23a92c444c8d262a15523
- Realised P&L
- $-34.2k
- Volume
- $5.79M
- Markets traded
- 618
- Open portfolio
- $634.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded618
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.485 | $477.79 | −$142.85 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.915 | $156.43 | +$11.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.448India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$11.0kat 0.583Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$6.0kat 0.407Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$5.9kat 0.239Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
- +$3.2kat 0.699Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.65 | $300.31 |
| 09-03 04:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-01 14:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-28 12:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $17.46 |
| 08-28 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 08-28 04:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 08-28 04:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 08-28 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $127.07 |
| 08-28 04:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $12.45 |
| 08-27 17:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-27 09:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.76 |
| 08-25 13:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $113.07 |
| 08-24 15:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $972.61 |
| 08-24 15:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.1k |
| 08-20 14:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.13 |