0x96ed7daad73ece3dff88d15c02d7b59337fa4cf5
0x96ed7daad73ece3dff88d15c02d7b59337fa4cf5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.33
- Volume
- $46.27
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.765 | $1.29 | +$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.280 | $0.72 | −$0.36 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.200 | 0.026 | $0.16 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.610Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$0.66at 0.659Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.679Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$0.54at 0.680US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.50at 0.718Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:39 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.25 |
| 09-23 02:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.41999993 | $1.08 |
| 09-20 00:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.25 |
| 09-19 11:01 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699998714 | $1.25 |
| 09-19 02:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099997999 | $1.25 |
| 09-16 02:06 | Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $1.25 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $1.25 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999033 | $1.25 |
| 09-13 21:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.25 |
| 09-11 07:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 23:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3899999033 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 15:14 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099997501 | $1.25 |
| 09-10 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6799999347 | $1.25 |
| 09-09 18:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.25 |
| 09-09 10:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 9? | BUY | 0.7799999126 | $1.25 |