orixcrake
0x96e9edf0e27596d8eb42f771f24464ee92224b32
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $597.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,630
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,630
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.25at 0.165Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$425.00at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7?
- +$415.97at 0.348Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
- +$380.11at 0.314Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 6?
- +$366.70at 0.420Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1? | BUY | 0.392 | $9.80 |
| 02-25 07:01 | Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 02-25 06:57 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.56 | $1.46 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 02-25 05:27 | UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |