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Traders

orixcrake

0x96e9edf0e27596d8eb42f771f24464ee92224b32

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$597.3k
Markets traded
1,630
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,630
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? · Yes0.1311.000$1.8k+$1.5k
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February? · No0.4841.000$518.84+$267.73
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026? · No0.6011.000$480.19+$191.54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26? · Yes0.6741.000$394.77+$128.84
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · Yes0.4631.000$384.68+$206.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.6981.000$342.33+$103.41
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? · No0.6301.000$319.69+$118.29
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · No0.3501.000$296.76+$192.82
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026? · No0.5221.000$267.50+$127.95
Will XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1? · Yes0.6151.000$250.00+$96.25
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 26? · No0.5501.000$250.00+$112.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1? · No0.7401.000$250.00+$65.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1? · No0.7241.000$202.25+$55.76
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Kareckaite0.5100.500$198.70$3.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28? · No0.7401.000$195.00+$50.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-25 17:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?BUY0.392$9.80
02-25 07:01Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL0.74$5.92
02-25 06:57UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)SELL0.56$1.46
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75
02-25 05:27UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$12.75