Lunarcorona
0x96e845c7960338680081883aef97d3167a68bf9f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.2k
- Volume
- $999.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.175 | $12.8k | −$1.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.041 | $2.8k | −$4.0k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $178.29 | −$115.36 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.065 | $79.71 | −$2.49 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.035 | $6.47 | −$1.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.206Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.671Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
- +$6.29at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET
- +$0.00at 0.038Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-2.07at 0.137Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:01 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0369999996 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 00:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 01:05 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0469999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 04:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $18.50 |
| 09-24 04:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $25.50 |
| 09-24 04:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.33 |
| 09-24 04:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.8k |
| 09-23 14:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.0k |
| 09-16 02:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3296131356 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 23:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $641.19 |
| 09-15 23:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299963921 | $4.6k |
| 09-15 23:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.48 |
| 09-15 23:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $347.19 |
| 09-15 23:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $255.49 |
| 09-14 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $293.65 |