0x96e4f88ef9de148d18d46ccd726de9b99a7f8566
0x96e4f88ef9de148d18d46ccd726de9b99a7f8566
- Realised P&L
- $0.95
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $185.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 2? · No | 0.965 | 0.992 | $184.75 | +$4.94 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.043 | $0.99 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.06at 0.776Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 28?
- +$3.92at 0.914Will Solana dip to $110 in September?
- +$3.78at 0.956Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
- +$3.76at 0.943Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?
- +$2.04at 0.563Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 15:51 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on November 2? | BUY | 0.965 | $179.81 |
| 10-16 02:37 | Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.55 |
| 10-16 00:48 | Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 04:27 | Will Solana reach $140 in October? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.25 |
| 10-10 05:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9199999994 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 09:37 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.9364881681 | $32.00 |
| 10-08 09:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.22 |
| 10-08 02:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.0406138735 | $0.66 |
| 10-08 02:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.061386137 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 23:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.052 | $1.51 |
| 10-07 21:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9859999952 | $33.00 |
| 10-07 21:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0687881316 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 09:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 03:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 7? | SELL | 0.955 | $5.41 |