0x96e4f88ef9de148d18d46ccd726de9b99a7f8566
- Realised P&L
- $-4.06
- Volume
- $519.44
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $58.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.948 | $44.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.055 | $14.08 | −$7.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.805Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?
- +$-0.21at 0.543Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?
- +$-0.31at 0.937Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.37at 0.379Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-7.58at 0.746Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:55 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999995 | $45.00 |
| 09-11 14:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.90 |
| 09-10 16:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 10:58 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.17 |
| 09-10 10:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.18 |
| 09-10 07:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | SELL | 0.97 | $11.33 |
| 09-09 02:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.7699999863 | $9.00 |
| 08-25 15:26 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999579 | $8.00 |
| 07-13 01:43 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $10.78 |
| 07-08 15:01 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 01:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3609999642 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 22:33 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 04:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999912 | $9.99 |