ded-ind-emp-seer
0x96cf8817ae4353d08a0ada0373f67dbc750c94ae
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $78.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.270Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.535Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$815.79at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 01:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999996 | $291.93 |
| 07-17 20:51 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.0598062387 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 20:51 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2295031519 | $250.00 |
| 07-17 20:48 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.0484062524 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 20:47 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2284615159 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 02:43 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0468043567 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 02:43 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.260690229 | $700.00 |
| 03-09 19:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6229439003 | $499.98 |
| 03-09 15:04 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2266094241 | $500.00 |
| 03-09 15:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3999792411 | $1.0k |
| 03-09 15:03 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6821030679 | $1000.00 |
| 03-09 02:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.429914017 | $500.00 |
| 03-09 02:29 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $500.00 |
| 03-09 02:28 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7362202385 | $1000.00 |
| 03-09 02:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $1000.00 |