PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ded-ind-emp-seer

0x96cf8817ae4353d08a0ada0373f67dbc750c94ae

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$78.5k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.4120.195$1.9k$2.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4190.075$921.77$4.2k
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1860.051$594.51$1.6k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4300.305$207.07$84.86
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1490.034$121.69$418.31
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$300.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$500.00
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$800.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$500.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$336.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$250.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 01:31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4299999996$291.93
07-17 20:51US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.0598062387$50.00
07-17 20:51Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2295031519$250.00
07-17 20:48US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.0484062524$100.00
07-17 20:47Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2284615159$500.00
07-14 02:43Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0468043567$40.00
07-14 02:43Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.260690229$700.00
03-09 19:29Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6229439003$499.98
03-09 15:04US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.2266094241$500.00
03-09 15:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3999792411$1.0k
03-09 15:03Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6821030679$1000.00
03-09 02:30Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.429914017$500.00
03-09 02:29Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1799999998$500.00
03-09 02:28Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7362202385$1000.00
03-09 02:28Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4199999999$1000.00
Trader ded-ind-emp-seer · PolyBot