catac-pb1
0x96c444be3b24552a514507c3032c6b2dd886e168
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $349.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,594
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,594
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.51at 0.767Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?
- +$42.94at 0.777Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 6?
- +$32.43at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?
- +$30.42at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?
- +$25.05at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.9790909091 | $53.85 |
| 09-27 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9085454545 | $49.97 |
| 09-27 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.79 | $43.45 |
| 09-27 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9490909091 | $52.20 |
| 09-26 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8761818182 | $48.19 |
| 09-26 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $53.90 |
| 09-26 07:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |
| 09-26 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9849090909 | $54.17 |
| 09-25 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.984 | $54.12 |
| 09-25 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 09-25 04:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.986 | $54.23 |
| 09-25 04:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9856363636 | $54.21 |
| 09-24 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9872727273 | $54.30 |
| 09-24 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.976875 | $15.63 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99525 | $19.91 |