PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

catac-pb1

0x96c444be3b24552a514507c3032c6b2dd886e168

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$349.4k
Markets traded
3,594
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,594
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28? · No0.8810.999$229.77+$27.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 28? · No0.8911.000$171.91+$18.72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? · No0.9221.000$167.92+$13.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 28? · No0.9771.000$167.92+$3.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 28? · No0.9880.993$163.76+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28? · No0.9770.964$161.95−$2.24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 29? · No0.9590.955$161.40−$0.75
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2700.170$62.90−$37.00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2490.130$59.54−$54.52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28? · No0.9600.935$53.30−$1.42
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 28? · No0.9551.000$40.98+$1.82
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 11? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on September 9? · No0.7830.000$0.00−$161.02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 31? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$54.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:26Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 29?BUY0.9790909091$53.85
09-27 05:50Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.9085454545$49.97
09-27 03:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.79$43.45
09-27 00:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.9490909091$52.20
09-26 22:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.8761818182$48.19
09-26 20:49Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.98$53.90
09-26 07:45Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on September 27?BUY0.988$19.76
09-26 04:29Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.9849090909$54.17
09-25 19:24Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.984$54.12
09-25 19:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 26?BUY0.998$54.89
09-25 04:46Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 25?BUY0.986$54.23
09-25 04:43Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 25?BUY0.9856363636$54.21
09-24 16:54Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25?BUY0.9872727273$54.30
09-24 15:28Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25?BUY0.976875$15.63
09-24 11:40Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 25?BUY0.99525$19.91