jaggadon
0x96c0861e7eaf01194d96a969d9169d9da194908f
- Realised P&L
- $302.99
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $634.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.695 | $347.50 | +$17.50 |
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.667 | 0.900 | $253.73 | +$65.62 |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.365 | $33.58 | −$14.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$950.60at 0.228Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$616.00at 0.500Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5?
- +$312.00at 0.500Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 11?
- +$78.09at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$76.40at 0.500Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 10:10 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $30.80 |
| 09-03 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 06-26 13:46 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5304382857 | $92.83 |
| 05-21 19:18 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $13.51 |
| 05-21 19:15 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 05-21 19:14 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 04-28 19:28 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $18.29 |
| 04-25 11:57 | Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale? | SELL | 0.0151702252 | $13.19 |
| 04-25 09:10 | Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.23 | $7.77 |
| 04-23 12:40 | StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.958 | $19.16 |
| 04-22 16:27 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5153036281 | $280.79 |
| 04-07 17:46 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April? | SELL | 0.84 | $15.88 |
| 04-06 20:32 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 04-02 18:54 | Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |