0x96A33067Ed09f1855B1EEe5a879a00c6B180C4E4-1783087616389
0x96a33067ed09f1855b1eee5a879a00c6b180c4e4
- Realised P&L
- $-181.20
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $2.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.165 | $1.65 | −$3.35 |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.070 | $0.92 | −$1.31 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.771 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.67at 0.290Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$9.14at 0.522Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
- +$7.55at 0.332Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
- +$7.12at 0.120US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$6.96at 0.188US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:43 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 15:46 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.77 |
| 09-12 16:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.30 |
| 09-12 16:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.07 |
| 09-12 02:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.07 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.78 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.51 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 23:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.33 |
| 09-09 22:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.77 |
| 09-09 21:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.04 |
| 09-09 21:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:42 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.63 |
| 09-09 18:23 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.26 |