0x96a03fd0c83a365ed70c922df897796e25f5587b
0x96a03fd0c83a365ed70c922df897796e25f5587b
- Realised P&L
- $12.26
- Volume
- $146.81
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $6.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.630 | $2.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.855 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.505 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.615 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.180 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.800 | 0.600 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.240 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:34 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:08 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:49 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:17 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:14 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:39 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |