0x969dc4dd14052a473bea9609688d72f2526c8e3b
0x969dc4dd14052a473bea9609688d72f2526c8e3b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.25
- Volume
- $188.85
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $8.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.655 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.795 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.490 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.610 | 0.665 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.400 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.725 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.255 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.020 | $0.07 | −$2.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.91at 0.440US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.38at 0.490US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:27 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:38 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:14 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:14 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 19:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2759999817 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 10:58 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999539 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 02:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999867 | $2.29 |