0x96903fbd18061ec05a1a503115e753b1e95cf6e7
- Realised P&L
- $1.17
- Volume
- $69.54
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.994 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.505 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.280 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.600 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.140 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.69at 0.277Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Docusign say "Workspace" during earnings call?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:47 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:47 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:46 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 15:34 | Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $660? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 07:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:34 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:05 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 11:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |