PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x96903fbd18061ec05a1a503115e753b1e95cf6e7

Realised P&L
$1.17
Volume
$69.54
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$6.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.6800.994$1.46+$0.46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.3700.505$1.36+$0.36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2300.280$1.22+$0.22
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4400.425$0.97$0.03
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6600.600$0.91$0.09
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6100.140$0.23$0.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:47Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-14 23:47Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-14 15:46Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-14 07:41Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-13 23:40Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-11 11:22Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-10 23:44Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-10 15:34Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $660?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-10 07:30S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-09 22:34Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-09 13:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4$1.00
09-09 04:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-08 10:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-08 00:05Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-07 11:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.7299998102$1.00