0x968e41e29BabBe01c3129c2B809635c4ec697e66-1769975987924
0x968e41e29babbe01c3129c2b809635c4ec697e66
- Realised P&L
- $-13.42
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$2.71 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 4? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in February? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.53at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 10:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 07-08 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.2299998865 | $1.50 |
| 07-08 08:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.089999949 | $1.50 |
| 06-17 13:25 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 15:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5? | BUY | 0.089999934 | $1.09 |
| 03-14 04:44 | Will Solana reach $130 in March? | BUY | 0.0406489419 | $2.20 |
| 03-02 08:41 | Will Opinion launch a token on March 4? | BUY | 0.0176027084 | $1.23 |
| 03-01 11:55 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.20 |
| 03-01 10:06 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 16:50 | Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 02-05 09:39 | Will Solana reach $130 in February? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |