0x968D17BC85814c25C7c1ba994546234d873d1307-1776865768381
0x968d17bc85814c25c7c1ba994546234d873d1307
- Realised P&L
- $-36.05
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16? · Up | 0.560 | 0.590 | $5.90 | +$0.30 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.30 |
| Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 10? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 14? · Up | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.91at 0.527Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
- +$3.62at 0.547Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$2.81at 0.235Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
- +$0.61at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$-0.02at 0.470Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:59 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-14 15:18 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.15 |
| 10-13 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $3.69 |
| 10-13 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 17:32 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $4.08 |
| 06-30 02:30 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $7.79 |
| 06-25 01:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 06-16 13:45 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.19 |
| 06-16 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:15 | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 06-09 13:46 | BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 06-09 13:46 | BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 18:20 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.63 |
| 05-11 14:53 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.04 |
| 05-07 15:55 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.44 |