PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x968D17BC85814c25C7c1ba994546234d873d1307-1776865768381

0x968d17bc85814c25c7c1ba994546234d873d1307

Realised P&L
$-36.05
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$5.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.5600.590$5.90+$0.30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$18.30
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 10? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.10
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 14? · Up0.0290.000$0.00−$2.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 15:59NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.56$5.60
10-14 15:18NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 14?BUY0.029$0.15
10-13 15:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSELL0.91$3.69
10-13 15:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.7399999457$3.00
09-09 17:32Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.044$4.08
06-30 02:30Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.084$7.79
06-25 01:14Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.54$4.32
06-16 13:45Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.001$1.19
06-16 13:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
06-10 14:15Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 10?BUY0.001$1.10
06-09 13:46BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.37$3.70
06-09 13:46BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-11 18:20Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.004$0.63
05-11 14:53Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.36$5.04
05-07 15:55Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.46$6.44