iiihejke
0x96877419b1178f9679bf2ff94786c470fbc7663d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.24
- Volume
- $85.8k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $54.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $21.89 | −$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.510 | $15.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.570 | $11.40 | +$0.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $5.69 | +$0.79 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? · 100k | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.29at 0.982Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$7.20at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.94at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.99at 0.734Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.76at 0.007Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 11-01 16:29 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 11-01 16:29 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 08-24 22:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.79 |
| 08-24 22:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 08-24 22:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $12.92 |
| 08-24 22:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $17.23 |
| 06-06 17:16 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.78 |
| 06-06 17:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 06-06 17:14 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.96 |
| 06-06 17:13 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $231.30 |
| 06-04 17:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $231.30 |
| 06-04 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 17:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $12.74 |
| 06-04 17:22 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.97 |