PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

carlpena

0x96786c8772c1c1a254341ccd3d2ff515080a6c70

Realised P&L
$-32.98
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$81.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.6800.710$33.82+$1.43
Spread: Vikings (-1.5) · Buccaneers0.5200.515$27.21−$0.26
Asian Games Men: Japan vs Nepal · Nepal0.8300.670$20.87−$4.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:45Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.999$9.57
01-30 16:59Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9969999998$8.93
01-30 16:35Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?BUY0.998$10.02
01-30 14:27Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9969999361$12.32
01-30 14:25Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.997$46.84
12-30 11:49Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$8.49
12-30 11:20Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.999$5.72
12-30 10:39Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$12.23
12-30 09:36Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$21.63
12-30 00:05Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?BUY0.998$13.73
12-29 22:27Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$19.53
10-30 23:17Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9839999997$23.26
10-30 20:06Will Solana dip to $120 in October?BUY0.9989999593$22.08
09-29 16:42Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.9979999298$11.77
09-29 15:47Will Solana reach $270 in September?BUY0.9979999296$12.75