0x42A865D8Ea2c153d9FA39768A0d51fc76CCBaD2e-1768147486484
0x9674f2170fff70b43ea626b3a50a941b7a2a47b3
- Realised P&L
- $-98.22
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $554.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.017 | $232.93 | −$67.05 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.040 | $170.59 | −$29.41 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.415 | 0.430 | $103.62 | +$3.62 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.623 | 0.535 | $47.51 | −$7.80 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:44 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6227968939 | $55.31 |
| 08-03 13:41 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4149658696 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 19:07 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0229047694 | $150.00 |
| 05-25 11:55 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0198206509 | $150.00 |
| 05-22 16:05 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0463095821 | $200.00 |