PolyBot

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Traders

sizeup

0x965b0391f66bdf65d9a7be6826278a98e978e530

Realised P&L
$-439.13
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
649
Open portfolio
$5.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded649
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 28? · No0.5601.000$2.54+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? · Yes0.3400.999$2.00+$1.32
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.021$0.90−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 20? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? · No0.5150.000$0.00−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11? · No0.7380.000$0.00−$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 19? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$3.66
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 21? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$3.66
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 26? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$8.32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 00:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29?SELL0.07$1.40
09-28 00:00Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?SELL0.6$12.00
09-27 22:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 29?SELL0.67$10.05
09-27 22:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 29?SELL0.73$3.65
09-27 19:52Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?SELL0.4$3.25
09-27 16:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29?SELL0.05$0.25
09-27 00:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.26$5.20
09-26 23:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.57$5.11
09-26 23:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.58$8.70
09-26 00:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27?SELL0.4560276586$9.56
09-25 21:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.64$9.60
09-25 21:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.65$3.25
09-25 21:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 27?SELL0.31$1.55
09-25 21:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 27?SELL0.32$2.89
09-25 18:12Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?SELL0.36$5.40
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