sizeup
0x965b0391f66bdf65d9a7be6826278a98e978e530
- Realised P&L
- $-439.13
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 649
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded649
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.14at 0.530Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?
- +$4.21at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?
- +$4.09at 0.410Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 29?
- +$3.92at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?
- +$3.65at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-28 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-27 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 09-27 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-27 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.25 |
| 09-27 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-27 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-26 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.11 |
| 09-26 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 09-26 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.4560276586 | $9.56 |
| 09-25 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 09-25 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-25 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-25 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.89 |
| 09-25 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.40 |