0x96548bc0baa8721e6a02846b5279eef15f78fa6c
0x96548bc0baa8721e6a02846b5279eef15f78fa6c
- Realised P&L
- $426.42
- Volume
- $98.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,518
- Open portfolio
- $10.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,518
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$685.09at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?
- +$210.67at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?
- +$189.50at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?
- +$174.83at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 18?
- +$132.39at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 10-20 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.13 |
| 10-20 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.0199806474 | $5.08 |
| 10-20 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.12 |
| 10-20 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.02 |
| 10-20 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.87 |
| 10-20 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.57 |
| 10-20 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.74 |
| 10-20 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.76 |
| 10-20 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.035 | $2.06 |
| 10-20 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.30 |
| 10-19 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.0141049929 | $2.69 |
| 10-19 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.50 |
| 10-19 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.40 |