0x964E520C680442A8CC1F250b51a26D3b57ABb9bD-1790824224029
0x964e520c680442a8cc1f250b51a26d3b57abb9bd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.600 | 0.555 | $971.61 | −$78.38 |
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.739 | 0.725 | $637.65 | −$12.35 |
| Set Handicap: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Hubert Hurkacz (+1.5) · Learner Tien | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.58 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz · Learner Tien | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.92at 0.668France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5
- +$296.11at 0.632France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$95.71at 0.913Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$59.92at 0.856Spread: Northern Ireland (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:25 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.739039364 | $650.00 |
| 10-05 21:13 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-05 21:10 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5995715786 | $550.00 |
| 10-05 21:09 | Spread: Northern Ireland (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $419.83 |
| 10-05 21:08 | France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $805.64 |
| 10-05 21:08 | France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-05 18:26 | Spread: Northern Ireland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.85 | $357.22 |
| 10-05 17:52 | France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.656623081 | $700.00 |
| 10-05 17:52 | France vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 21:24 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9096495921 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 20:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5398236932 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 19:21 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6690085292 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 02:17 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6229125962 | $650.00 |
| 10-03 22:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5813115461 | $418.89 |
| 10-03 22:49 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $650.00 |