ayam-kremes
0x964208917fb8b344cf27eaf3e289db61e82878d4
- Realised P&L
- $-216.77
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Markets traded
- 9,754
- Open portfolio
- $7.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,754
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.74at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?
- +$7.40at 0.876XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$6.89at 0.649Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$6.23at 0.896Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$5.19at 0.794Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-25 09:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-25 09:05 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.991 | $9.23 |
| 09-25 07:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-25 07:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 07:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 06:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-25 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-25 06:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-25 06:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-25 06:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 09-25 06:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-25 05:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 09-25 05:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |