laoqi888
0x963e377c85f81a5cfeeb1e2ed60ddf9aaef904a0
- Realised P&L
- $-158.62
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $21.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.81at 0.103Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$49.22at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$40.79at 0.415Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
- +$36.55at 0.108Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$30.11at 0.294Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.923 | $4.62 |
| 10-08 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.98 |
| 10-07 10:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.69 |
| 10-05 01:50 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1735925126 | $4.82 |
| 10-05 01:48 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.13 |
| 10-02 06:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $5.95 |
| 09-28 02:47 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 04:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0659326363 | $25.60 |
| 09-25 01:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0772525812 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 02:57 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.95 |
| 09-21 10:16 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.0713355804 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 10:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.18 |
| 09-21 06:27 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1187389917 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 01:21 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $23.12 |
| 09-21 01:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.14 |