PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lucas-avle

0x963db316815890110e54743d75246a17deaad056

Realised P&L
$-8.55
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$3.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5501.000$1.82+$0.82
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.8201.000$1.22+$0.22
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.085$0.17$0.83
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.096$0.15$0.85
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.054$0.11$0.89
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.007$0.03$0.97
Spurs vs. Lakers · Lakers0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.3200.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.7230.000$0.00$4.43
Pistons vs. Celtics · Pistons0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel strike 0 countries in December 2025? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$1.00
Celtics vs. Bucks · Celtics0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$1.80
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-12 13:51Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.7299999023$1.42
12-12 13:51Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.8199999836$1.00
12-12 13:50Maduro out by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
12-12 13:50Nets vs. MavericksBUY0.74$1.00
12-12 13:50Hawks vs. PistonsBUY0.7299998102$1.00
12-12 13:49Pacers vs. 76ersBUY0.74$1.00
12-12 13:49Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?SELL0.86$1.10
12-11 20:38Nuggets vs. KingsBUY0.8$1.00
12-11 20:38Celtics vs. BucksBUY0.7899999921$1.00
12-11 20:36Clippers vs. RocketsBUY0.78$3.00
12-11 20:35Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BUY0.8599999702$1.73
12-11 20:35Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.78$1.00
12-11 20:34Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.719999808$3.00
12-11 20:34Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?BUY0.32$3.00
12-11 20:34Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?SELL0.31$1.94