lucas-avle
0x963db316815890110e54743d75246a17deaad056
- Realised P&L
- $-8.55
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $3.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.110Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
- +$1.34at 0.420Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?
- +$0.85at 0.780Clippers vs. Rockets
- +$0.78at 0.530Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
- +$0.75at 0.569Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-12 13:51 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.7299999023 | $1.42 |
| 12-12 13:51 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 12-12 13:50 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 12-12 13:50 | Nets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 12-12 13:50 | Hawks vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 12-12 13:49 | Pacers vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 12-12 13:49 | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.10 |
| 12-11 20:38 | Nuggets vs. Kings | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 20:38 | Celtics vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 20:36 | Clippers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 12-11 20:35 | Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.8599999702 | $1.73 |
| 12-11 20:35 | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 20:34 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.719999808 | $3.00 |
| 12-11 20:34 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 12-11 20:34 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.94 |