MitchMarner
0x962acb913594232d2f59179dc87191bdec7aaa6c
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $863.91
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · No | 0.647 | 0.265 | $863.91 | −$1.2k |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October? · No | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$385.24 |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.47at 0.790Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?
- +$565.32at 0.793Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?
- +$437.34at 0.857Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
- +$312.61at 0.733Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
- +$224.07at 0.725Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 17:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |
| 10-15 17:43 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.57 | $185.11 |
| 10-15 15:59 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.5418410445 | $24.00 |
| 10-15 14:59 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.5074879337 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 19:29 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.66 | $36.88 |
| 10-14 17:36 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 10-14 16:57 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October? | BUY | 0.38 | $152.00 |
| 10-14 16:56 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 10-14 16:52 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-14 16:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-14 16:42 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $196.24 |
| 10-14 16:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.69 | $31.05 |
| 10-14 16:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $154.05 |
| 10-14 16:41 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $334.99 |
| 10-14 16:35 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7345553645 | $3.0k |