godknowswhat
0x96212c5ca9f7139d7e9a4d9c26b5567322c3bc8d
- Realised P&L
- $14.71
- Volume
- $176.15
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.210Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.00at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$1.68at 0.377Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.61at 0.557Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 12:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $1.63 |
| 09-10 12:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 12:04 | Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 12:04 | Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 00:30 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 00:24 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.989 | $3.29 |
| 07-19 12:54 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 12:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 12:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999358 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0902439031 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.1475000221 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 21:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 21:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3224998017 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.875 | $5.00 |