PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kayps

0x962064f610ed58a82bed547835e4cc9964b5ed47

Realised P&L
$-51.69
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$84.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? · Yes0.0600.049$32.36−$7.64
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? · Yes0.0940.080$25.51−$4.49
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.1700.140$16.47−$3.53
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.1350.070$10.40−$9.60
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Chirayu Rana divorced? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$20.00
Chirayu Rana sued? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Adam Sandler attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Timothee Chalamet attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$5.00
League of Legends: G2 vs. T1 · G20.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship? · No0.3060.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spike Lee attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 07:06Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.1699999997$20.00
10-06 07:06Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.1346153842$20.00
10-06 07:00Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?BUY0.0940733772$30.00
10-06 07:00Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?BUY0.0599550337$40.00
09-21 15:17Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.7599999964$100.00
06-03 15:46Will Adam Sandler attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
06-03 15:45Will Spike Lee attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0498480465$6.00
06-03 15:45Will Timothee Chalamet attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0346536715$5.00
05-02 15:16Chirayu Rana divorced?BUY0.08$20.00
05-02 15:15Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
05-02 15:15Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?BUY0.069895151$10.00
02-16 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3AM ETBUY0.8099999977$50.00
12-18 01:13US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?SELL0.991$10.53
12-18 01:13US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?SELL0.9901157168$34.40
07-27 16:46Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?SELL0.62$6.73