mp63
0x961a7ce0a139562408272f42434ad9e95b7517c2
- Realised P&L
- $-123.54
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $66.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.080 | $37.86 | −$62.14 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.055 | $28.82 | −$21.18 |
| UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Tatsuro Taira | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) · Jared Gordon | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) · Benn | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.30at 0.370UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$115.79at 0.600UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$84.67at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$40.22at 0.637UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$17.07at 0.004Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 17:05 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0954296817 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 05:59 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $105.15 |
| 05-10 03:36 | UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $111.00 |
| 05-09 16:59 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 05-09 16:57 | UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6299999973 | $70.00 |
| 05-09 16:57 | UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 05-09 16:55 | UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 04-20 09:14 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9756407703 | $58.77 |
| 04-11 19:45 | UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $98.02 |
| 04-11 19:43 | UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $97.12 |
| 03-28 21:12 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 03-28 21:11 | UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3699999983 | $110.00 |
| 01-10 20:04 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |