PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mp63

0x961a7ce0a139562408272f42434ad9e95b7517c2

Realised P&L
$-123.54
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$66.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2100.080$37.86$62.14
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0950.055$28.82$21.18
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Tatsuro Taira0.6000.000$0.00$50.00
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) · Jared Gordon0.7100.000$0.00$100.00
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) · Benn0.3300.000$0.00$100.00
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · No0.3800.000$0.00$30.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 21:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2099999996$100.00
09-12 21:01Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)BUY0.3299999989$100.00
09-05 17:05Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.0954296817$50.00
05-10 05:59UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$105.15
05-10 03:36UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)SELL0.999$111.00
05-09 16:59UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.1899999939$20.00
05-09 16:57UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.6299999973$70.00
05-09 16:57UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.709999998$100.00
05-09 16:55UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5999999976$50.00
04-20 09:14No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?SELL0.9756407703$58.77
04-11 19:45UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.6699999993$98.02
04-11 19:43UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5199999983$97.12
03-28 21:12No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?BUY0.8299999977$50.00
03-28 21:11UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3699999983$110.00
01-10 20:04Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.38$30.40