Cfb
0x9619bdea2d8b8fb84fae807b7ffc41eb364ff3ad
- Realised P&L
- $1.00
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-07? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.68at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$2.25at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$1.92at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$0.53at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$0.47at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $1.33 |
| 10-07 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.29 |
| 10-07 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.02 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.13 |
| 10-07 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.13 |
| 10-07 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $1.14 |
| 10-07 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.07 |