PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cfb

0x9619bdea2d8b8fb84fae807b7ffc41eb364ff3ad

Realised P&L
$1.00
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$1.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? · Yes0.2500.235$0.94−$0.06
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? · Yes0.1000.045$0.45−$0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-07? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-07 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL0.85$1.33
10-07 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
10-07 17:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSELL0.999$1.29
10-07 17:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-07 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-07 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.87$1.02
10-07 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.859999914$1.00
10-07 17:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.77$1.13
10-07 17:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-07 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.6$1.13
10-07 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-07 17:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSELL0.71$1.14
10-07 17:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-07 16:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?SELL0.999$1.07