PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tadeuszhh

0x9613dc33c8630fb6aea7d6277de5f37a005826db

Realised P&L
$193.00
Volume
$45.8k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$128.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21? · No0.0990.075$51.75−$16.65
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? · No0.1400.135$25.52−$0.86
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20? · No0.4250.580$25.06+$6.71
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 20? · Yes0.4430.290$8.70−$4.60
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5700.625$6.25+$0.55
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? · No0.5500.575$5.75+$0.25
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.560$5.60+$0.30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20? · Yes0.0800.100$0.12+$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$7.06
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$0.54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 19? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$20.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 16? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$4.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 3? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$16.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:32Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.57$5.70
10-20 09:32Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.53$5.30
10-20 09:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?BUY0.09$1.80
10-20 08:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 20?BUY0.49$4.90
10-20 03:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?SELL0.37$1.85
10-20 03:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?BUY0.08$1.60
10-20 03:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?SELL0.42$10.50
10-20 02:19Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19?BUY0.07$3.50
10-20 01:53Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?BUY0.5$40.00
10-20 01:24Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19?BUY0.3592743106$24.75
10-20 01:22Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5BUY0.52$15.60
10-20 01:18Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5BUY0.43$8.60
10-20 01:03Spread: 49ers (-13.5)BUY0.5$5.00
10-20 00:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22?BUY0.14$14.00
10-19 23:49Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5BUY0.45$31.50