MRGENTLE01
0x961373150c8479abd29ad6c697826c386aea7d3b
- Realised P&L
- $36.69
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$1.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.89at 0.064Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19?
- +$9.85at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?
- +$4.48at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 19?
- +$3.43at 0.676Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-19 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0107721741 | $1.20 |
| 09-19 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0699999981 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2899999954 | $12.00 |
| 09-19 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.017295875 | $6.92 |
| 09-19 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.93922575 | $37.57 |
| 09-19 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.063 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.50 |
| 09-18 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.42 |
| 09-17 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |