0x96110610ebe5e6f546abeada5d8a618c53ab78ee
0x96110610ebe5e6f546abeada5d8a618c53ab78ee
- Realised P&L
- $-32.18
- Volume
- $726.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $265.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.695 | $139.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? · No | 0.835 | 0.820 | $81.24 | −$1.44 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? · No | 0.360 | 0.350 | $43.99 | −$1.32 |
| Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $1.41 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.58at 0.160Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?
- +$10.20at 0.350Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?
- +$-4.29at 0.660Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
- +$-118.48at 0.738Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?