Sahakian
0x960581c710dae72e084c89bc579e497e9d9911a4
- Realised P&L
- $-178.99
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.031 | $1.57 | −$8.43 |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.015 | $1.11 | −$8.89 |
| Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.50at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$83.26at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$76.34at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$75.36at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$58.42at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.1309996833 | $2.66 |
| 03-12 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2441720634 | $4.91 |
| 03-12 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.8346330092 | $53.22 |
| 03-12 11:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999984 | $53.98 |
| 03-12 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.7902855783 | $54.80 |
| 03-12 11:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4897352622 | $33.42 |
| 03-12 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.9909999995 | $34.50 |
| 03-12 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7599838102 | $26.24 |
| 03-12 11:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12? | SELL | 0.2706024197 | $26.95 |
| 03-12 06:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $65.91 |
| 03-11 08:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 03-11 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.6508602367 | $9.08 |
| 03-11 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.2909950399 | $5.21 |
| 03-11 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7092906957 | $9.79 |
| 03-11 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.4705439896 | $10.38 |