shisha0428
0x9603de9313ac9ee2b60f143484de09b75eccc2df
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $106.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.978 | $54.74 | −$0.25 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.955 | $51.54 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$567.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on May 28?
- +$472.85at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
- +$334.05at 0.490Mariners vs. Rays
- +$1.51at 0.935Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
- +$1.18at 0.974Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:46 | Mariners vs. Rays | BUY | 0.49 | $320.95 |
| 07-17 11:23 | Solana Up or Down on July 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $534.00 |
| 07-11 13:11 | Rangers vs. Astros | BUY | 0.54 | $611.82 |
| 07-09 11:54 | Dogecoin Up or Down on July 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $484.00 |
| 05-27 12:10 | Solana Up or Down on May 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $567.00 |
| 05-12 12:05 | Brewers vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $602.80 |