bhy714
0x95fc9b1243296b47af70a6db2fcc60113769f3f7
- Realised P&L
- $-186.85
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $39.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.947 | 0.983 | $27.49 | +$1.01 |
| QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.700 | 0.745 | $11.92 | +$0.72 |
| Bulls vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.44at 0.984Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.598Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.28at 0.980Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.50 in April?
- +$0.15at 0.930Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:19 | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.993 | $16.00 |
| 07-18 03:10 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.3538877053 | $15.95 |
| 04-24 12:55 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in April? | BUY | 0.9959999943 | $44.12 |
| 04-24 12:44 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.958 | $28.23 |
| 04-24 12:44 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.865 | $0.93 |
| 02-15 02:10 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.88 |
| 02-15 02:09 | Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9759999997 | $28.77 |
| 02-15 02:09 | Will Ethereum hit $4750 by February 28 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999244 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 02:08 | Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $9.00 |
| 02-15 02:01 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.998 | $42.76 |
| 01-21 06:44 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.997 | $42.73 |
| 01-21 06:32 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.996 | $42.74 |
| 12-28 11:47 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $42.61 |
| 12-28 11:46 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9279991834 | $1.00 |
| 12-28 11:46 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |