0x95f95fd3a74f1fd36e3cac2b78f59af6761eb50b
0x95f95fd3a74f1fd36e3cac2b78f59af6761eb50b
- Realised P&L
- $8.84
- Volume
- $192.08
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $9.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.845 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.615 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.595 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.665 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.665 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.365 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? · No | 0.410 | 0.300 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.155 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.036 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:20 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:32 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:35 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6689999177 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:23 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:09 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |