9f8f23
0x95ec3c2ec118a56f3cdd78142b0b0fa150395f2e
- Realised P&L
- $14.32
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $120.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.992 | $120.03 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.12at 0.860Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$4.28at 0.940Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.49at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
- +$0.40at 0.996Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.24at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-09 13:00 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $46.90 |
| 12-09 13:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999949 | $67.00 |
| 11-10 01:45 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $99.00 |
| 09-16 14:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? | BUY | 0.988 | $7.2k |
| 06-21 09:43 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.66 |
| 06-18 17:21 | Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.76 |
| 06-02 10:11 | Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.78 |
| 05-15 17:25 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.52 |
| 05-12 08:20 | Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National majority? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.48 |
| 04-17 13:35 | Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff? | BUY | 0.994 | $98.67 |
| 03-31 07:05 | Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.62 |
| 03-13 11:22 | Will Frankfurt win the Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.62 |
| 02-28 08:51 | Will Cale Makar win the Hart Trophy? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.61 |
| 02-24 08:11 | Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.39 |
| 02-23 15:56 | Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.82 |