PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shumuxi

0x95d42d7110bb027f57481c81138cd7191ca7e257

Realised P&L
$-76.58
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$164.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7800.725$72.50−$5.50
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5100.585$58.50+$7.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.165$16.50−$33.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.165$16.50−$47.50
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29? · No0.7910.000$0.00−$39.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00−$6.10
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$39.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$34.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$81.99
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9650.000$0.00−$28.95
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 13:30Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$36.99
07-23 13:15Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.15$52.50
07-15 12:17Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?SELL0.13$13.00
06-11 13:35Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?SELL0.975$97.50
05-13 12:59Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$87.00
05-04 01:06Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?SELL0.002$0.06