shumuxi
0x95d42d7110bb027f57481c81138cd7191ca7e257
- Realised P&L
- $-76.58
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $164.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.50at 0.675Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?
- +$103.00at 0.485Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
- +$47.50at 0.525Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
- +$46.00at 0.620Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$45.00at 0.550Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 13:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $36.99 |
| 07-23 13:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.15 | $52.50 |
| 07-15 12:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-11 13:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | SELL | 0.975 | $97.50 |
| 05-13 12:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 05-04 01:06 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |