0x95cba0856775e97568be82c6d3e3a74d87eeb179
0x95cba0856775e97568be82c6d3e3a74d87eeb179
- Realised P&L
- $19.91
- Volume
- $240.22
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $8.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.821 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.600 | 0.710 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.495 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.375 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.450 | 0.360 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · No | 0.650 | 0.270 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.085 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:53 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 08:33 | Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:16 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:47 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:26 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:41 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:35 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:44 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |