tonyluc
0x95c5db042a1c77e4dc63320d9ad391860a60a719
- Realised P&L
- $27.46
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $13.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.80at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.10at 0.352Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$11.74at 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
- +$4.88at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?
- +$2.17at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.42 |
| 08-02 20:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.22 |
| 08-02 20:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |