tonyluc
0x95c5db042a1c77e4dc63320d9ad391860a60a719
- Realised P&L
- $35.83
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,020
- Open portfolio
- $14.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,020
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.80at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.87at 0.364Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$11.36at 0.477Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
- +$7.33at 0.120US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$6.08at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:26 | Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:25 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:25 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:25 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:25 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |