h0ip0ll0i
0x95bac246a983529e6a57feae41ecc028357d3a5c
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $99.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $566.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No | 0.730 | 0.835 | $227.42 | +$28.60 |
| Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.885 | $221.80 | +$8.77 |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.539 | $53.95 | +$13.95 |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.050 | $50.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.525 | $13.13 | +$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$688.25at 0.149Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
- +$458.94at 0.408Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
- +$325.48at 0.346Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$312.05at 0.862Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$199.67at 0.553Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:30 | Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $213.03 |
| 10-06 00:25 | Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 14:04 | Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.51 | $22.09 |
| 10-03 23:44 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | SELL | 0.53 | $192.19 |
| 10-03 22:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.982 | $450.99 |
| 10-03 22:24 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.0045123765 | $12.77 |
| 10-03 22:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-03 21:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 10-03 21:27 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.9980242354 | $823.61 |
| 10-03 21:13 | Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.392 | $3.16 |
| 10-03 21:13 | Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.391 | $18.57 |
| 10-03 21:11 | Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.367 | $27.25 |
| 10-03 21:10 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.998 | $64.07 |
| 10-03 18:30 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.226 | $13.56 |
| 10-01 23:51 | Renan Santos participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.921 | $31.51 |