PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

havarra

0x95b35426f3deed6cbaaa47b3ac6ede5829699989

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$834.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.050$581.80+$0.01
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.031$113.99+$77.22
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.120$26.88+$17.92
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.035$25.52+$10.94
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.044$23.41+$16.05
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.031$21.10$5.16
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.033$17.95$3.81
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.735$14.28+$13.12
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.022$5.96+$4.61
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.108$2.41+$1.52
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.043$0.61+$0.19
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.059$0.18+$0.09
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.0050.000$0.00$6.79
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$35.08
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$33.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 10:45Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$582.80
09-06 10:19Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$8.96
05-29 18:19Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?BUY0.021$0.26
05-23 11:10Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$3.94
05-23 11:10Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.067$13.89
05-23 11:10Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$3.92
05-17 08:03Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?BUY0.016$3.69
05-05 03:59MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?SELL0.019$0.95
05-03 13:37Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?BUY0.01$0.19
04-25 05:26Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.028$19.12
04-24 18:56Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.031$0.32
04-24 18:55Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.031$20.77
04-14 16:44Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.987$0.68
04-04 18:33Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.65
04-01 04:52Will Spark launch a token by March 31?SELL0.002$0.19