0x95b18721fd39b74CBC625A840d73EB149948e3B6-1771765556851
0x95b18721fd39b74cbc625a840d73eb149948e3b6
- Realised P&L
- $-999.66
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.685 | $847.34 | −$109.30 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.814 | $558.41 | −$41.56 |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.910 | 0.915 | $207.71 | +$1.14 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.888 | 0.880 | $157.21 | −$1.39 |
| Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.963 | 0.960 | $68.16 | −$0.24 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.976 | 0.960 | $8.88 | −$0.15 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.89 |
| Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.78 |
| Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.29at 0.849Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$128.27at 0.739Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$119.25at 0.887GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$115.28at 0.700Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$91.96at 0.743Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 17:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.876 | $87.60 |
| 08-14 17:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.874341274 | $512.37 |
| 08-02 08:29 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.17 |
| 07-31 17:01 | Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9947376195 | $57.25 |
| 07-31 14:05 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 07-31 14:05 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.775269631 | $49.17 |
| 07-31 14:05 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.77 | $33.96 |
| 07-28 16:26 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 07-28 16:20 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $51.92 |
| 07-28 16:20 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7886819121 | $454.21 |
| 07-28 16:19 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $93.74 |
| 07-15 13:40 | Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8871333333 | $133.07 |
| 07-07 12:07 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.967 | $77.36 |
| 06-24 19:10 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $140.21 |
| 06-24 19:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.845 | $338.00 |