0x95a9ac424c4a714305a775b27F2Aa9dA6DcFDB23-1778081960221
0x95a9ac424c4a714305a775b27f2aa9da6dcfdb23
- Realised P&L
- $-12.10
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $40.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $40.75 | +$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.24at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$10.78at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$9.76at 0.805Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
- +$9.49at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$9.20at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:39 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 08:01 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 07-17 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $6.50 |
| 07-16 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $3.78 |
| 07-16 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999784 | $6.50 |
| 07-16 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999772 | $6.50 |
| 07-16 04:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $6.50 |
| 07-15 23:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999691 | $6.50 |
| 07-15 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $1.16 |
| 07-14 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999935 | $6.50 |
| 07-13 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999784 | $6.50 |
| 07-13 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $6.50 |
| 07-13 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-12 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999655 | $6.50 |
| 07-12 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999691 | $6.50 |