fingizz
0x95a5b92ba35e7755ba4d77e99d3e93e6a543b89f
- Realised P&L
- $-69.33
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $43.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? · No | 0.570 | 0.485 | $19.40 | −$3.40 |
| Will Credo Technology (CRDO) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.280 | $11.20 | +$0.80 |
| Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election? · No | 0.403 | 0.295 | $6.67 | −$2.44 |
| Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.465 | 0.245 | $5.43 | −$4.88 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.425 | $0.59 | +$0.09 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.50at 0.370Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
- +$5.20at 0.810France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
- +$1.00at 0.210Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.80at 0.780Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.650Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12:13 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 12:11 | Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 12:11 | France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | SELL | 0.914 | $45.70 |