vvoo
0x95a3f8e1ec3b1ec1d0aaa873be12cc03e88cbdc6
- Realised P&L
- $-9.90
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $15.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.962 | $8.24 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.940 | $6.83 | +$0.00 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.977 | 0.042 | $0.73 | −$16.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.919Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
- +$0.50at 0.890New pandemic in 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.964US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.964New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
- +$0.41at 0.940Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 12:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.928 | $9.90 |
| 08-31 22:49 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.04 |
| 08-30 20:49 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.969 | $7.36 |
| 07-20 18:43 | Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | SELL | 0.926 | $10.58 |
| 07-12 10:51 | Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.911 | $6.95 |
| 07-07 09:44 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.9208099078 | $7.99 |
| 07-06 16:38 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $10.97 |
| 07-04 05:58 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $11.37 |
| 07-03 07:02 | GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $6.80 |
| 07-03 04:59 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $6.38 |
| 07-03 02:32 | GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $6.79 |
| 06-30 10:24 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.96 | $8.62 |
| 06-30 01:51 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.966 | $7.09 |
| 06-28 19:01 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.978 | $6.27 |
| 06-22 10:41 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.61 |