Grubby-Ferryboat
0x95a37e36f65198099306a8e838890c5f8fcd923c
- Realised P&L
- $18.01
- Volume
- $357.20
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $74.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.176 | 0.285 | $24.10 | +$9.17 |
| Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.150 | $21.87 | +$5.06 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.616 | 0.662 | $17.53 | +$1.23 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.230 | 0.225 | $4.65 | −$0.10 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $3.68 | −$0.07 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.69 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.01at 0.394Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:51 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999363 | $2.72 |
| 10-11 20:51 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $3.75 |
| 10-11 20:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.229999999 | $4.75 |
| 10-10 23:40 | Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.38 |
| 10-10 23:39 | Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 18:33 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 17:44 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 10-09 20:17 | Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $9.43 |
| 10-09 20:05 | Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.93 |
| 10-09 19:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6159999991 | $16.30 |