0x95A07C3DFA5e684027b634843Cf9aB9d7CC0E80b-1767983388582
0x95a07c3dfa5e684027b634843cf9ab9d7cc0e80b
- Realised P&L
- $-182.93
- Volume
- $59.5k
- Markets traded
- 801
- Open portfolio
- $49.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded801
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.820 | 0.745 | $45.43 | −$4.57 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on June 18? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.32 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2? · Down | 0.976 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.80 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 24? · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.90 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2? · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.30 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.93at 0.850Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?
- +$12.10at 0.810Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
- +$12.00at 0.400EUR/USD Up or Down on February 16?
- +$8.80at 0.650Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
- +$7.80at 0.740Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:27 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 20:19 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.18 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 13:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $75.20 |
| 08-04 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.966 | $43.47 |
| 08-04 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 08-03 19:59 | Will York City FC win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.92 | $55.20 |
| 08-03 19:07 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.933 | $55.98 |
| 08-03 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9825093486 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 19:50 | Will Kruger United win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 19:46 | Will SCU Torreense win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 13:55 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $53.90 |
| 07-30 14:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 07-30 12:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $49.20 |