0x95A07C3DFA5e684027b634843Cf9aB9d7CC0E80b-1767983388582
0x95a07c3dfa5e684027b634843cf9ab9d7cc0e80b
- Realised P&L
- $-391.18
- Volume
- $95.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,088
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,088
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1? · No | 0.960 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$66.45 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.85at 0.341S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$14.55at 0.854Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?
- +$12.00at 0.400EUR/USD Up or Down on February 16?
- +$11.70at 0.815Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
- +$10.10at 0.728Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $500 on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 10-01 17:53 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-01 17:52 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-01 14:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3333333333 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9946936 | $49.73 |
| 10-01 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $66.48 |
| 09-30 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $92.44 |
| 09-30 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.9935058997 | $20.21 |
| 09-30 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 09-30 15:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 09-30 15:32 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $38.83 |
| 09-30 15:24 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-30 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9918995 | $99.19 |
| 09-30 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.14 |
| 09-30 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.56 |